September 23, 2026 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 2–4
HP Umpire: Mark Wegner
10 missed call(s) favored BAL (+0.1 runs), 4 favored TOR (+0.0 runs).
Accuracy
89.8%
Missed Calls
14
Edge Accuracy
50.0%
ABS Challenges
0
Called ball inside zone
2-0 count · Bot 2 · Colton Cowser
WPA
This gave BAL a 1.7% win probability boost
Called strike outside zone
0-1 count · Top 2 · Myles Straw
This gave BAL a 1.0% win probability boost
3-1 count · Bot 5 · Pete Alonso
This gave TOR a 0.6% win probability boost
0-0 count · Top 8
This gave TOR a 0.5% win probability boost
0-0 count · Top 5 · Myles Straw
This gave BAL a 0.4% win probability boost
1-0 count · Top 6 · Kazuma Okamoto
0-0 count · Top 6
1-0 count · Bot 6 · Christian Encarnacion-Strand
0-0 count · Top 7 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
0-1 count · Top 1 · Kazuma Okamoto
This gave TOR a 0.3% win probability boost
Dashed line = game average (89.8%)